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Crown Green Handicap

Paul Watkinson

Team: Lane Ends BDivision: Division 3Last updated: 9/29/2026

Rating

671

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

14

Matches Played

12

Wins

2

Losses

86%

Win Rate

9.6

Avg Win Margin

3.0

Avg Loss Margin

5-1

Home Record

7-1

Away Record

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 156/15

Season Highlights

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 14 matches

+15 Rising
26 Apr17 May31 May14 Jun28 Jun12 Jul2 Aug-14916
Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
86%
score+0.71→contribution+0.29
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
9.6
score+0.26→contribution+0.07
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
3.0
score+0.83→contribution+0.13
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
86%
score+0.71→contribution+0.07
Opponent Strength(10%)
742
score+0.45→contribution+0.04
Weighted Score+0.593
Sample Size Confidence
8%(14/50 matches)
Rating1178 → shrunk 1014→ adjusted 664
Handicap15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by a confidence factor (matches ÷ 50), so players with few games don't get extreme handicaps. Recency blend: the shrunk all-time rating is blended with a separate rating from the seasons selected in Handicap Calculation Years (currently 2024, 2025, 2026), weighted up to 40% based on recent match volume (30+ matches = full 40%). Players with no recent matches keep their all-time rating unchanged. Rating is mapped to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger).

League

12W2L14 matches·85.7% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Lane Ends B2022Division 31412285.7%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/2/2022David GentA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
7/26/2022Ken DuffyH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 3
7/12/2022J EdwardsH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
7/6/2022Tom EustaceA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
6/28/2022Ronnie GurnellH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 3
6/21/2022Ken ByromA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
6/14/2022Paul DolanA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
6/7/2022Steve GloverH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
5/31/2022Bob RileyA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
5/24/2022Frank DennettH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 3
5/17/2022Dennis MussellA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 3
5/3/2022Darren EllisA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 3
4/26/2022K HurstH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
4/19/2022Ian HillA21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 3

Current Streak

5wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

6

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

1

Career worst losing streak

Last 5100% win rate
WWWWW
Last 1080% win rate↑ improving
WWWWWLWLWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
David Gent101100%8/2/2022
Ken Duffy101100%7/26/2022
J Edwards101100%7/12/2022
Tom Eustace101100%7/6/2022
Ronnie Gurnell101100%6/28/2022
Ken Byrom0110%6/21/2022
Paul Dolan101100%6/14/2022
Steve Glover0110%6/7/2022
Bob Riley101100%5/31/2022
Frank Dennett101100%5/24/2022
Biggest Win
Ian Hill (+17)4/19/2022
Heaviest Defeat
Ken Byrom (-4)6/21/2022
Best Season
202286% · 14 matches
Worst Season
202286% · 14 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
86% → 86%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
74214 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
1-0100% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
11-285% win rate
Division 385.7%
12W·2L·14 played

Debut

Apr 19, 2022

Latest

Aug 2, 2022

Seasons Active

1 (3 mo span)

Matches / Season

14.0 (14 total)

Seasons

2022